287 ABNT20 KNHC 060511TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Katz/Beven

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:34:21 GMT

000ABPZ20 KNHC 060536TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 5 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Lowell, located about 600 miles south-southwest of the Hawaiian Islands, on Tropical Storm Karina, located about 750 miles east-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Marie, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the middle or latter portions of next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.$$Forecaster Beven

Hurricane for

• Summary for Hurricane Marie (EP3/EP132026) ...MARIE FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 the center of Marie was located near 23.1, -121.9 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.

Hurricane Marie

• Hurricane Marie Public Advisory Number 21 Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 2026 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 060847 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Marie Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 2026 ...MARIE FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 121.9W ABOUT 765 MI...1225 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Marie was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 121.9 West. Marie is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today. A turn toward the west- northwest is forecast tonight or on Monday. Marie is then expected to resume a northwestward heading at a faster forward speed by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is expected to begin later today and continue for the next several days. Marie is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Marie will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwest Mexico, the Baja California Peninsula, and Southern California for the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Beven]]>
• Hurricane Marie Forecast Advisory Number 21 Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 06 2026 679 WTPZ23 KNHC 060846 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132026 0900 UTC SUN SEP 06 2026 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 121.9W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 140SE 140SW 160NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 330SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 121.9W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 121.7W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.8N 122.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.5N 123.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.1N 125.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.8N 126.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.0N 127.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.7N 128.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 32.7N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 121.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN]]>
• Hurricane Marie Forecast Discussion Number 21 Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 2026 850 WTPZ43 KNHC 060847 TCDEP3 Hurricane Marie Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 2026 Convection associated with Marie, while showing well organized banding, has diminished some in intensity since the last advisory. However, this has not yet translated into a notable weakening in the various satellite intensity estimates. Thus, the initial intensity remains a possibly generous 80 kt. The initial motion is 315/7 kt. Marie is currently being steered by a mid- to upper-level ridge to the northeast and heading for a break in the ridge caused by a large trough over the U. S. West Coast. This trough is forecast to move northeastward during the next 24 h, allowing some ridging to develop north of Marie and turn the cyclone west-northwestward. By 48 h, a new trough developing to the northwest of Marie should turn the cyclone back to a northwest motion, with the low-level center continuing this general motion until the system dissipates. The new forecast track is in good agreement with the HCCA Corrected Consensus, the Google DeepMind ensemble mean, and the Florida State Superensemble. Marie is starting to move into sea surface temperatures below 26C, and the the temperatures get progressively colder along the forecast track. This, combined with some dry air entrainment, should start a steady weakening later today. After 48 h, increasing shear should cause the cyclone to become decoupled vertically, which should lead to the convection dissipating and the cyclone becoming post-tropical between 72-96 h. The global models forecast the low-level circulation to dissipate completely by 120 h, and the intensity forecast follows this. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 23.1N 121.9W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 06/1800Z 23.8N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 07/0600Z 24.5N 123.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 07/1800Z 25.1N 125.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 08/0600Z 25.8N 126.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 08/1800Z 27.0N 127.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 09/0600Z 28.7N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 10/0600Z 32.7N 130.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven]]>
• Hurricane Marie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21 Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 06 2026 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 060847 PWSEP3 HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132026 0900 UTC SUN SEP 06 2026 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 25N 120W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 8 47(55) 22(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 25N 125W 50 X 3( 3) 27(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 25N 125W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 30N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN]]>
• Hurricane Marie Graphics
  
  Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:33:29 GMT ]]>